Thursday, August 25, 2011

Trading Apple and Its Ecosystem (Video) *Apple and suppliers should do well*

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The Apple Ecosystem Should Thrive


Stocks Mentioned: AAPL, BRCM, OVTI, QCOM, AMZN

Trading Apple and Its Ecosystem The Apple Ecosystem includes partners and suppliers to Apple products such as the iPhone, iPad, and the Macbook. Jon Najarian likes Broadcom and Omnivision Technologies, suppliers to Apple and others. Guy Adami thinks Qualcomm is at least worth looking at. Peter Misek, Senior Tech Analyst at Jefferies & Co. then discusses Apple stock and is bullish. He thinks Chairman of the Board Steve Jobs will still be involved in product planning and design. The biggest risk to Apple is Amazon will probably going to introduce a low-price tablet to compete with iPad. However, Apple has a lock on its ecosystem through consumers buying integrated devices and products. Apple has great products and content. Apple is at least 2 to 3 years ahead of their competition. Cortez thinks Apple squeezes the margins of its suppliers too much and "if you like Apple, just buy Apple".



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Saturday, August 20, 2011

Largest USA Tech Companies (Financial Charts) *Financial performance & position update*

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Largest USA technology companies lose market capitalization in market downdraft

*Updated 8-19-11 for HP quarterly financial results*


Largest USA Technology Companies: Financial Performance & Position Review*

Largest USA Tech Companies Two ways to rank which technology companies are the Largest USA Tech Companies are by market capitalization and total assets. Below is a review of the Largest USA Tech Companies compared to their peers, the largest technology companies in the United States. These 8 companies are Apple, Microsoft, IBM, Google, Oracle, Intel, Cisco, and HP. How a "technology company" is defined makes the first difference and how the largest USA technologies companies are measured makes a second difference. The companies included are designated as such in the S&P 500 technology sector.  Notable companies not included are Amazon and EMC Corporation and telecommunications sub-sector companies.

Largest USA Tech Companies Financial Measurement Five measurements of the 8 Largest USA Tech Companies are reviewed. First is value, ranking by market capitalization. Second is financial position ranking by total assets and capital ratio. Third is financial performance ranking by quarterly net income and annualized return on assets. Some of these companies are on a fiscal year, therefore the latest 4 fiscal quarters of each company are included.

Largest USA Tech Companies by Market Capitalization A measure of the size of a technology company is the valuation of the company by the equity market. The market valuation below is as of the market close on Friday, August 19, 2011 and provides a snapshot. All prior and expected financial performance and position has been priced into the publicly traded stock, along with any other financial system and economic uncertainties to-date. Apple leads all technology companies with a market capitalization of $330.07 billion and is the 2nd largest corporation traded on USA equity markets by market capitalization. Exxon is #1 at $339.38 billion. Microsoft is 2nd at $201.50 billion (3rd largest of all corporations), IBM is 3rd at $188.15 billion (4th largest), Google is 4th at $158.51 billion (12th largest), Oracle is 5th at $125.52 billion (16th largest), Intel is 6th at $100.77 billion (19th largest), Cisco is 7th at $82.94 billion (26th largest), and HP is 8th at $48.95 billion (49th largest). By market capitalization Apple is well ahead. Microsoft, IBM, and Google are in the next tier. The current average market capitalization of the 8 Largest USA Tech Companies is $154.55 billion. The current aggregate market capitalization of the 8 Largest USA Tech Companies is $1.236 trillion.


Largest USA Tech Companies by Total Assets The size of the financial position of the Largest USA Tech Companies is measured by total assets. By this measure, 4 companies have over $100 billion in total assets at the latest quarter. HP is largest at $124.92 billion followed by IBM at $113.47 billion. Microsoft is #3 with $108.70 billion and Apple is #4 with $106.76 billion. Next is #5 Cisco at $87.10 billion, #6 Oracle at $73.54 billion, #7 Intel at $66.09 billion, and #8 Google at $64.86 billion. The current average assets of the 8 Largest USA Tech Companies is $93.18 billion. The current aggregate assets of the 8 Largest USA Tech Companies is $745.43 billion.


Largest USA Tech Companies: Capital Ratio The strength of the financial position of the Largest USA Tech Companies is measured by the basic capital ratio (total equity divided by total assets). By this measurement, Google leads with the strongest capital of 80.16%, followed by Intel at 73.72% and Apple at 64.95%. Next are OracleCisco, and Microsoft at 54.73%, 54.26%, and 52.51%, respectively. HP is at 31.40% and IBM is last at 20.45%. The current average capital ratio for the 8 Largest USA Tech Companies is 54.02%.


Largest USA Tech Companies: Quarterly Net Income The current profitability of the financial performance of the Largest USA Tech Companies is measured by quarterly net income. By this measure, for the latest quarter, Apple leads with a $7.31 billion quarterly net income for the latest quarter. Second is Microsoft at $5.87 billion. IBM is #3 at $3.66 billion, Oracle is #4 at $3.21 billion, Intel is #5 at $2.95 billion, Google is #6 at $2.51 billion, HP  is #7 at $1.93 billion, and Cisco is #8 at $1.23 billion. The current average quarterly net income of the 8 Largest USA Tech Companies is $3.58 billion. The current aggregate quarterly net income for the 8 Largest USA Tech Companies is $28.67 billion.


Largest USA Tech Companies: Return on Assets Annual return on assets is the ultimate measurement of a technology company's financial performance. Return on assets reveals how effectively assets are being deployed to maximize profits and a 4-quarter moving average is shown on the chart for each company. By this measurement, for the latest quarter, two companies have annual return on assets greater than 20.00%: Apple leads at 27.56%, followed by Microsoft at 24.20%. Next is #3 Intel at 19.56%, #4 Google 16.74%, #5 IBM 13.96%, #6 Oracle 12.75%, #7 Cisco 7.81%, and #8 HP 7.63%. The current average return on assets of the 8 Largest USA Tech Companies is 16.28%. [Note: Return on assets differ from company reports or other sources. A more detailed method is utilized for this chart.]



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Thursday, August 18, 2011

SalesForce.com Reports Quarterly GAAP Net Loss (Financial Charts) *Loss per Share -$0.03* CRM

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SalesForce.com (CRM) reported FY Q2 July 2011 financial results on Thursday, August 18, 2011
*Charts and commentary have been updated for SalesForce.com FY Q2 July 2011 financial results*


1 - All financial data below is GAAP, which results in a lower financial performance.
2 - SalesForce.com also reports Non-GAAP, which results in a higher earnings per share.
3 - Non-GAAP does not include stock-based compensation expense, amortization of purchased intangibles, non-cash interest expense related to convertible senior notes, and the related tax consequences. 


SalesForce.com (CRM) Reports Quarterly GAAP Net Loss: Loss per Share -$0.03

SalesForce.com (CRM) Summary Fiscal Q2 (GAAP) GAAP financial performance continues deteriorating. Revenues continue increasing as return on assets decrease. A current quarterly GAAP net loss and 3 consecutive quarterly GAAP operating losses have been reported. Cash flow per share was a 3-quarter low of $0.61. The 3 most recent quarters have been not only been unimpressive, but are now of concern. The poor financial performance is now beginning to affect financial position by draining liquidity. Financial position overall remains adequate, but unless financial performance can be improved will deteriorate further. CRM trades at 187 price/earnings ratio, but fundamentals have not been a hindrance to this high flying stock. The stock price is priced for a stellar future performance that does not appear to be on the horizon. Of even more concern is CEO Marc Benioff not commenting on financial performance this quarter in the press release but instead pumping the annual Dreamforce meeting and wanting us all to be there. CEO Benioff is whistling past the graveyard...

SalesForce.com (CRM) Income Statement Fiscal Q2 (GAAP) SalesForce.com (CRM) reported total revenues of $546.0M, a net operating loss of -$15.7M, and loss per share of -$0.03. From the prior fiscal quarter Q1 2012, total revenues were up +8.26%, net income down -905.28%, and earnings per share down -300.00%. From the prior year fiscal quarter Q2 2011, these were up +38.45%, down -125.74%, and down -127.27%, respectively. Gross, operating, and net margins were all down, to 77.86%, -2.88%, and 0.78%, respectively. Cash flow from operations was down QoQ to $0.61 per share and a 3-quarter low. The operating expense ratio (operating expenses divided by total revenues) of 80.74% is extremely high.

SalesForce.com (CRM) Balance Sheet Fiscal Q2 (GAAP) SalesForce.com's (CRM) total assets increased +9% QoQ to a record $3.42B from the prior quarter of $3.13B. The capital to assets ratio (total stockholders' equity divided by total assets) is a reasonable 41.45%, exclusive of "temporary capital" of $90.8M. The current ratio (current assets divided by total assets) is a fairly liquid 32.58%, decreasing, and does not include $709M in noncurrent marketable securities. SalesForce.com (CRM) is liquid with reasonable capital. The return on assets peaked in QE October 2009 at 5.13% and has declined for 7 consecutive quarters the current, extremely weak 0.98%. The $1.29B+ in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities (current and noncurrent), which are 37.6% of the total assets of $3.42B, is decreasing as operating losses and now a net loss create depletion.


SalesForce.com (CRM) Financial Performance by the Quarters (Charts)

SalesForce.com (CRM) Earnings Per Share Below is a chart of quarterly earnings per share. Earnings per share have ranged between -$0.03 and +$0.17 for the past 17 quarters and remained below +$0.18 for all the quarters reviewed. Current Loss per Share of -$0.03 is at the lowest to-date and a multi-year low. The chart average EPS, since QE July 2007, is +$0.09.



SalesForce.com (CRM) Cash Flow per Share Below is a chart of cash flow from operations per share. Cash flow per share has been volatile ranging from $0.14 to $1.18. Current Cash Flow per Share of $0.61 is  average and a 3-quarter low. The chart average CFS, since QE July 2007, is $0.61.


SalesForce.com (CRM) Total Revenues, Operating Income, and Net Income Below is a chart of quarterly total revenues, operating income, and net income. Current Total Revenues of $546.0M are yet another record and have consistently grown. Guidance indicates even higher total revenues in the future. The chart average TR, since QE July 2009, is $412.0M. Current Operating Loss of -$15.8M is the 3rd consecutive GAAP operating loss reported, preceded by -$2.8M for QE April 2011 and -$391K for QE January 2011. These operating losses were after the QE October 2010 record operating income of $35.2M. The chart average OI, since QE July 2009, is $18.2M. Current Net Loss of $4.3M is the first net loss reported on the chart and a multi-year low. The QE January 2010 net income of $22.4M is the all-time high. The chart average OI, since QE July 2009, is $14.6M. 


SalesForce.com (CRM) Gross Margin, Operating Margin, and Net Margin Below is a chart of quarterly gross margin, operating margin, and net margin. Current Gross Margin of 77.86% is a multi-year low and continues a downtrend. The chart average GM, since QE July 2009, is 80.06%. Current Operating Margin of -2.88% has been negative for 3 consecutive quarters, and is below the peaks of 9%+ in 2009. The chart average OM, since QE July 2009, is 5.18%. Current Net Margin of -0.78% a multi-year low and well below the peaks of 2009. The chart average NM, since QE July 2009, is 4.01%.


SalesForce.com (CRM) Return on Assets Below is a chart of annual return on average assets per quarter. The total net income for the most recent 4 quarters is divided into average assets for the most recent 4 quarters to obtain a rolling annualized ROA, an annualized return on average assets for the 12 months (4 quarters) ended. SalesForce.com has a historically low ROA for a technology company and doesn't appear to have an effective deployment of assets. The ROA peaked in QE October 2009 at 5.13% and has declined each quarter since, for 7 consecutive quarters, to the current Return on Assets of a extremely weak 0.98%. The $1.29B+ in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, which are 37.6% of the total assets of $3.42B is pulling down the ROA. The excess liquidity now decreasing due to net losses. The chart average ROA, since QE April 2008, is 3.66%.


SalesForce.com (CRM) Growth Rates Below is a chart of the quarterly (QoQ, Q/Q, quarterly change) growth rates for revenues and earnings per share. Total Revenues Growth of +8.26% QoQ continues the uptrend and has increased in every quarter on the chart, ranging from +3.65% to +14.16%. Earnings per Share Growth QoQ has deteriorated into a downtrend decreased for 3 consecutive quarters.


SalesForce.com (CRM) Revenue Sources Below is a chart of quarterly revenue sources, as a percentage of total revenues. Subscription and Support continues as the primary source of revenues and is currently 93.27% of total revenues, which is about the chart average, since QE July 2009, of 93.29%. Professional Services and Other is currently at 6.73%, which is about the chart average, since QE July 2009, of 6.71%.


SalesForce.com (CRM) Geographic Revenues Below is a chart of quarterly geographic revenues, as a percentage of total revenues. For the current quarter, Americas revenues were $367M and 67% of total revenues. Europe was $102M and 19%, and Asia Pacific was $77M and 14%. The overall trend is a decrease in Americas, Europe mostly flat, and an increase in Asia Pacific.





SalesForce.com (CRM) Operating Expense Ratio Below is a chart of quarterly operating expense ratio, which is operating expenses divided by total revenues. The current Operating Expense Ratio of 80.74% is probably a company record high - and is way too high - and continues a 4-quarter uptrend. This indicates a decreased efficiency plus a lower proportion of revenues is reaching the bottom line, net income, and ultimately earnings per share.




SalesForce.com (CRM) Announces Fiscal Second Quarter Results

SAN FRANCISCO, Aug. 18, 2011 /PRNewswire via COMTEX/ -- Salesforce.com (NYSE: CRM), the enterprise cloud computing (http://www.salesforce.com/cloudcomputing/) company, today announced results for its fiscal second quarter ended July 31, 2011. We're expecting over 40,000 people to register for Dreamforce which takes place in San Francisco later this month. It's the cloud event of the year where attendees can learn how to supercharge their relationships with employees and customers using social, mobile and open cloud technologies," said Marc Benioff, Chairman and CEO, salesforce.com. "We hope to see you there."
- First Enterprise Cloud Computing Company to Exceed $2.1 Billion Annual Revenue Run Rate
- Record Quarterly Revenue of $546 Million, up 38% Year-Over-Year
- Raises FY12 Revenue Guidance to $2.22 Billion - $2.23 Billion
- Deferred Revenue of $935 Million, up 37% Year-Over-Year
- Operating Cash Flow of $83 Million, up 9% Year-Over-Year
- Company Record 6,300 Net New Customer Additions
- Total Customers Rise to 104,000, up 21,600 or 26% Year-Over-Year


SalesForce.com (CRM) Guidance

Q3 FY12 Guidance: Revenue for the company's third fiscal quarter is projected to be in the range of approximately $568 million to approximately $570 million.

For the third fiscal quarter, the company expects to report a GAAP net loss per share of approximately ($0.06) to ($0.05), while diluted non-GAAP EPS is expected to be approximately $0.30 to $0.31. The non-GAAP estimate excludes the effects of stock-based compensation expense, expected to be approximately $60 million, amortization of purchased intangibles related to acquisitions, expected to be approximately $18 million, and net non-cash interest expense related to the company's convertible senior notes, expected to be approximately $3 million. EPS estimates assume a GAAP tax rate of 54%, and a non-GAAP tax rate of 33%. For the purpose of the EPS calculation, the company assumed an average basic share count of approximately 137 million shares, and an average diluted share count of approximately 146 million shares.

Full Year FY12 Guidance: Revenue for the company's full fiscal year 2012 is projected to be in the range of approximately $2.22 billion to approximately $2.23 billion.

For the full fiscal year 2012, the company expects to report a GAAP net loss per share of approximately ($0.11) to ($0.09), while diluted non-GAAP EPS is expected to be approximately $1.30 to $1.32. The non-GAAP estimate excludes the effects of stock-based compensation expense, expected to be approximately $241 million, amortization of purchased intangibles related to acquisitions, expected to be approximately $64 million, and net non-cash interest expense related to the convertible senior notes, expected to be approximately $11 million. EPS estimates assume a GAAP tax rate of 72%, and a non-GAAP tax rate of 32%. For the purpose of the EPS calculation, assume an average basic share count of approximately 136 million shares, and an average diluted share count of approximately 145 million shares.



About SalesForce.com (CRM)

With more than 100,000 customers, Salesforce.com is the enterprise cloud computing company that is leading the shift to the social enterprise. Social enterprises leverage social, mobile and open cloud technologies to put customers at the heart of their business. Based on salesforce.com's real-time, multitenant architecture, the company's platform and application services include:
* Salesforce Chatter, a secure, private social network for your business
* Salesforce Sales Cloud, for sales force automation and contact management
* Salesforce Service Cloud, for customer service and support solutions
* Salesforce Radian6, for social media monitoring and engagement
* Salesforce Jigsaw, for B2B sales and marketing account and contact data
* AppExchange, the leading marketplace for enterprise cloud computing applications
* Force.com, for custom application development
* Heroku, for building social and mobile apps in Ruby


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